Today (Tuesday 3 October) the ESRI published Did increasing the state pension age in Ireland affect the retirement rate of 65-year-olds? The study examines whether the increase in the contributory state pension age from 65 to 66 in 2014 had an impact on the retirement rate of 65-year-olds in that same year.
In January 2014, the qualifying age for the Irish state pension increased from 65 to 66 years. Individuals born after 1st January 1949 could no longer qualify for the pension at age 65. Individuals born before this date could still qualify, provided they had the required social insurance contributions. As a result, 65-year-olds who were born in December 1948 could receive the state pension, while others born in January 1949 (one month younger) had to wait until age 66. By comparing the retirement rates of these two groups of individuals at age 65, this research attempts to assess the impact of the pension age change on the retirement decisions of those born after the cut-off point.
Potential reasons behind the lack of any clear policy effect
Paul Redmond, Research Officer at the ESRI, commented:
“In the context of population ageing and the rising costs of state pensions, the age at which people retire is increasingly important for public policy. We have not found evidence of people reacting to the policy change in 2014. However, the analysis highlighted the need for improved data that allows us to fully identify an individual’s precise age, social insurance contribution history and private pension income, so that the impacts of future policy changes in this area can be effectively evaluated.”
The ESRI works towards a national vision of ‘Informed policy for a better Ireland’. This means producing high-quality analysis to provide robust evidence for policymaking, with the goals of research excellence and policy impact.
The ESRI produces research that contributes to understanding economic and social change in the new international context and that informs public policymaking and civil society in Ireland.